Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.057761 0.068516 0.080588 0.095123 0.112132 0.131385 0.154817
2025-04-13 0.039455 0.052690 0.069256 0.091437 0.120277 0.156416 0.205041
2025-04-20 0.030828 0.045166 0.064699 0.093081 0.133072 0.187181 0.265675
2025-04-27 0.024915 0.039451 0.060702 0.093746 0.143485 0.215128 0.325592
2025-05-04 0.020656 0.035013 0.057338 0.094154 0.152818 0.241972 0.386769
2025-05-11 0.017657 0.031820 0.055091 0.095533 0.163307 0.271285 0.454829
2025-05-18 0.015657 0.029832 0.054316 0.098921 0.177131 0.307096 0.537145
2025-05-25 0.013035 0.026219 0.050126 0.095716 0.179206 0.323660 0.589434
2025-06-01 0.011336 0.023977 0.047949 0.095621 0.186470 0.349545 0.660296
2025-06-08 0.009786 0.021725 0.045359 0.094282 0.191119 0.371110 0.725665
2025-06-15 0.008875 0.020602 0.044752 0.096617 0.202892 0.406792 0.820718
2025-06-22 0.007778 0.018876 0.042647 0.095589 0.207834 0.430007 0.894519
2025-06-29 0.006701 0.017020 0.040027 0.093203 0.209916 0.448327 0.961833
2025-07-06 0.005716 0.015194 0.037186 0.089916 0.209671 0.461997 1.021556
2025-07-13 0.005208 0.014428 0.036613 0.091604 0.220405 0.499466 1.134723
2025-07-20 0.004700 0.013565 0.035669 0.092274 0.228910 0.533101 1.243401
2025-07-27 0.004242 0.012741 0.034681 0.092679 0.236826 0.566272 1.354639
2025-08-03 0.003885 0.012125 0.034117 0.094038 0.247161 0.605950 1.484701
2025-08-10 0.003654 0.011824 0.034320 0.097376 0.262747 0.659328 1.651825
2025-08-17 0.003181 0.010712 0.032172 0.094218 0.261614 0.673316 1.728083
2025-08-24 0.002882 0.010069 0.031213 0.094124 0.268343 0.706888 1.854844
2025-08-31 0.002575 0.009340 0.029888 0.092806 0.271649 0.732372 1.964450
2025-09-07 0.002415 0.009059 0.029830 0.095106 0.285055 0.784654 2.146536